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Analysis

NFIB small business optimism index declines again in September

Summary

Small business optimism steps back in September

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell to 90.8 in September from 91.3 in August. Optimism is up a bit from the low of 89 hit in April 2023, however over the past few months, the index has been hovering around levels not experienced since 2012 in the aftermath of the Great Recession. Ongoing pessimism on the part of small firms reflects a long list of challenges which include inflation, labor shortages, higher financing costs and reduced credit access. Although some of these macroeconomic factors have improved this year, small firms do not appear to be convinced that the road ahead is clear of obstacles. The share of firms expecting the economy to improve over the next six months, which is still near a record low even after turning up in the summer, deteriorated for the second consecutive month in September.

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