Share:

From FX weekly, EUR/USD 1.0665 traded to highs 1.0639. Lows for the past 2 weeks achieved 1.0448 and 1.0528. Enter anywhere and all profited. GBP/USD 1.2351 achieved highs 1.2337. Lows for the past 2 weeks traded 1.2059 and 1.2162. Enter anywhere and all profited.

USD/BRL traded to target 5.0676 and USD/NOK target 10.8457 complete. Enter anywhere and all profited.

Further from FX weekly. GBP/JPY bottom and long at 181.00. Highs traded 183.80. Enter anywhere and all profited. USD/JPY bottoms at 148.00's while highs traded 149.32. Enter anywhere and all profited.

USD/JPY and intervention

The words to BOJ intervention is false. The new intervention since 2008 and particularly 2016 to relieve intervention costs is the manipulation of interest rates. This is exactly what the BOJ did and they informed to the drop to interest rates and USD/JPY miles in advance.

Previous to the drop, USD/JPY traded overbought from the range at 151.34 to 149.37. After the drop, the range became 149.37 to 147.40.

Shorts at 149.37 offered further downside as the drop derived from the London Fix at 149.03. How much profit was involved depends on the trader time frame. From a day trade perspective, here's USD/JPY pip numbers: 150, 75, 37, 18 and 9 pips.

USD/JPY imports and exports

For the first time since October 2022 and on a monthly basis from the currency price,  imports exceed exports. Yearly, Exports far exceeds imports. The high Oil price from Qatar at $88 per barrel and Japan's largest source of imported crude is contributed to Imports exceed exports.

The Qatar Oil price contributed -30% to Producer Prices, 33% to Exports and 74% to Imports,. From the Commodity Contractual basis, Imports at 0.6 vs Exports at 0.5 reveals how crucial a role Oil contrubutes to positive and negative imports and exports.

The bottom line is the BOJ is subject to intervemve anytime. If the Fed raises then added pressure contributes to a higher USD/JPY to fuel greater problems to the BOJ's Export and import lines. The BOJ desperately requires a lower USD/JPY under current circumstances.

Higher import lines translates to higher Inflation and lower GDP.

As stated all year, outside events is the catalyst to drop USD/JPY as the BOJ and the economic system continues to work perfectly. The Oil price is the stimulant from putside forces to add ammunition to a lower USD/JPY.

For the first time since October 2022, pay heed to  BOJ speakers for the next month until November 12th.

The week

USD/JPY big break for lower continues to trade at 145.85. USD/JPY trades overbought above 149.57. Next week targets the vicinity of 147.71 and to continue the yearly long short strategy. Long term at 147.00's, USD/JPY remains massive overbought from lower averages.

EUR/AUD break at 1.6529 targets 1.6419 and 1.6225. EUR/AUD is required to trade 1.6419 minimum. GBP/AUD targets 1.9022 and 1.8768. GBP/AUD break at 1.9119 assist to target 1.9022.

Deeply oversold EUR/USD targets 1.0660 and above 1.0701 becomes 1.0826 and 1.0906. Continue long strategies as EUR/USD literally trades at the bottoms.

GBP/USD same story as EUR/USD as GBP/USD trades at bottoms and targets 1.2341, 1.2496 and overall 1.2698.

EUR/NZD top range is located at 1.7719. The expected close Friday at 1.7647 means shorts for next week to target 1.7500's. Overall shorts are located below 1.7779.

GBP/NZD shorts below 2.0566. Next lower target is found at 2.0224.

Oversold AUD/USD targets the break above 0.6475 and NZD/USD above 0.6019.

GBP/CAD watch for longs an shorts at 1.6761 and EUR/CAD at 1.4490.

Overall the vast majority of currency pairs trade at or near crucial breaks to signify much higher or much lower. Next week is a crucial time for currency markets. 

Share: Feed news

Trading currencies and other financial instruments carries a degree of loss and possible loss of entire investments. Please managed your own risks, stop loss, and margins requirements.

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended Content


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0500, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0500, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD extended its daily decline toward 1.0500 in the second half of the American session, pressured by the souring market mood. Despite the bullish action seen earlier in the week, the pair remains on track to register weekly losses.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD falls below 1.2150 as USD rebounds

GBP/USD falls below 1.2150 as USD rebounds

Following an earlier recovery attempt, GBP/USD turned south and declined below 1.2100 in the second half of the day on Friday. The negative shift seen in risk mood amid rising geopolitical tensions helps the US Dollar outperform its rivals and hurts the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold advances to fresh multi-week highs above $1,920

Gold advances to fresh multi-week highs above $1,920

Gold extended its daily rally and climbed above $1,920 for the first time in over two weeks on Friday. Escalating geopolitical tensions ahead of the weekend weigh on T-bond yields and provide a boost to XAU/USD, which remains on track to gain nearly 5% this week.

Gold News

Bitcoin could be an alternative to US-listed companies but not in the short term

Bitcoin could be an alternative to US-listed companies but not in the short term

Bitcoin has dipped below $27,000, adding to the subdued cryptocurrency market sentiment. While short-term price concerns persist, analysts predict a rebound based on historical figures.

Read more

Nvidia Stock Forecast: NVDA slips as Biden administration attempts to close AI chip loophole

Nvidia Stock Forecast: NVDA slips as Biden administration attempts to close AI chip loophole

Nvida's stock price opened marginally lower on Friday after Reuters reported that the Biden administration is attempting to close a loophole that allowed Chinese companies access to state-of-the-art computer chips used for AI.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures